Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino | 82% | +23% | $12K |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +25% | - |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $112 |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 73% | +37% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 72% | +38% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 57% | +74% | $947 |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 54% | +87% | $2 |
| 8 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-4.5 | 46% | +115% | $10K |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 45% | +122% | $4 |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 33% | +203% | - |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 31% | +223% | - |
| 17 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $329 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Me...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (138% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 12:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino at 82% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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