The market strongly favors Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin | 100% | - | $65K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $39 |
| 3 | Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $25 |
| 4 | Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $39 |
| 5 | Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $32 |
| 6 | Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $25 |
| 7 | Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $82 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Ilia Simakin in the Cattolica, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Guillen M...
This prediction market tracks whether Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin will occur, with $66K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $63K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin at 100% probability, with $66K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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