The market strongly favors Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $2K |
| 2 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $81 |
| 3 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +0% | $259 |
| 5 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 6 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $60 |
| 7 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +0% | $354 |
| 8 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 9 | Completed Match | 55% | +83% | $440 |
| 10 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Game Spread +/-2.5 | 44% | +130% | $9K |
| 11 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils BEST VALUE | 38% | +160% | $312K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Arthur Fils in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Mic...
This prediction market tracks whether Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils will occur, with $330K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $355K traded in the last 24 hours alone (108% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $330K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $330K, with $355K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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