The market strongly favors Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | 83% | +20% | $61K |
| 3 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $1K |
| 4 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Facundo Mena in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Migu...
This prediction market tracks whether Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena will occur, with $63K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $51K traded in the last 24 hours alone (82% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $63K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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