The market strongly favors Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | $168K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Pavel Kotov in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Moc...
This prediction market tracks whether Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov will occur, with $123K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $121K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 15, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $123K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $123K, with $121K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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