National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 69%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 69% | +45% | - |
| 2 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 21.5 | 51% | +96% | $2 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 47% | +113% | $38 |
| 8 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 9 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 Winner | 42% | +138% | - |
| 10 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 23.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 11 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | +150% | $300 |
| 12 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 13 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 Winner | 40% | +153% | - |
| 14 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | 38% | +160% | $7K |
| 15 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +388% | $16 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Fabian Marozsan in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sh...
This prediction market tracks whether National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan will occur, with $8K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 69%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $7K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 69% probability, with $8K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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