The market strongly favors Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $32 |
| 2 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 4 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 5 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 6 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +1% | $30 |
| 7 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | 73% | +36% | $122K |
| 8 | Completed Match | 53% | +90% | $5 |
| 9 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $115 |
| 10 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $7 |
| 11 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | $30 |
| 14 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 44% | +127% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Dane Sweeny in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuk...
This prediction market tracks whether Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny will occur, with $124K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $124K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 15, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $124K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $124K, with $124K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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