Completed Match leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 77% | +30% | $38K |
| 2 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile | 70% | +44% | $833 |
| 3 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 4 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 Winner | 57% | +74% | - |
| 5 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 48% | +111% | $2 |
| 13 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 14 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +138% | $2 |
| 15 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 16 | Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 19% | +426% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Pierluigi Basile in the Milan, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elme...
This prediction market tracks whether Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Completed Match at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $39K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 17:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 77% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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