Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie | 70% | +44% | $21K |
| 2 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 69% | +45% | - |
| 3 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 Winner | 62% | +60% | $713 |
| 4 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +94% | $27 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | $9 |
| 9 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +120% | $9 |
| 13 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44% | +125% | $926 |
| 14 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +147% | $7 |
| 15 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 23% | +335% | - |
| 16 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 18% | +456% | $22 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Jamie Mackenzie in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer...
This prediction market tracks whether Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 29, 2026 at 13:00 UTC, the leading outcome is Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie at 70% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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