San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 81%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 81% | +23% | - |
| 2 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 21.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 3 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | $19 |
| 9 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | - |
| 11 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 Winner | 42% | +141% | - |
| 12 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 41% | +144% | $11 |
| 13 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 14 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino | 37% | +170% | $12K |
| 15 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 31% | +223% | $30 |
| 16 | San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 22% | +344% | $23 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Andrea Pellegrino in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Montei...
This prediction market tracks whether San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 81%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 30, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 81% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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