The market strongly favors Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 64% | +57% | $4K |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $550 |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $45 |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 | 46% | +120% | $1K |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-4.5 | 43% | +133% | $90 |
| 12 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +174% | $3 |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner | 34% | +199% | - |
| 14 | Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul BEST VALUE | 13% | +669% | $86K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul will occur, with $94K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $101K traded in the last 24 hours alone (108% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 23, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $94K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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