Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 84% | +18% | - |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 3 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | - |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | $424 |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner | 47% | +113% | - |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe | 46% | +120% | $31K |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Game Spread +/-0.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | $77 |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 42% | +138% | - |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $400 |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | - |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +190% | $189 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (69% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 08:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 84% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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