Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 69%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 69% | +45% | $102 |
| 2 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri | 57% | +74% | $43K |
| 3 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 Winner | 54% | +87% | - |
| 4 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 12 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 13 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% | +144% | $20 |
| 14 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 37% | +170% | $82 |
| 15 | Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 23% | +335% | $19 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Andrea Guerrieri in the Croatia Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'L...
This prediction market tracks whether Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri will occur, with $43K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 69%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 11, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 69% probability, with $43K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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