Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | $5 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 21.5 | 58% | +71% | $265 |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 23.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 Winner | 46% | +117% | - |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 Winner | 46% | +117% | - |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | 44% | +130% | $17K |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 44% | +130% | $114 |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +199% | $161 |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Raphael Collignon in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marian...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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