US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 70% | +42% | - |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 70% | +42% | $80 |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-6.5 | 55% | +82% | $988 |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 46% | +117% | $388 |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.5 | 42% | +141% | $231 |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +194% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navon...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (78% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 70% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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