The market strongly favors Completed Match at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 92% | +8% | $690 |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | - |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 73% | +37% | - |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner | 59% | +69% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +106% | $4 |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Game Spread +/-4.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 22.5 | 40% | +147% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 23.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | +264% | $50 |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner | 26% | +292% | - |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $23K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Completed Match is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 05:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 92% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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