Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +26% | $73 |
| 2 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan | 62% | +63% | $103K |
| 3 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 Winner | 57% | +74% | $68 |
| 4 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +80% | $260 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $630 |
| 6 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | +133% | $8 |
| 13 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | +147% | $1K |
| 14 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +160% | $46 |
| 15 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +239% | - |
| 16 | Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | $55 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Dominik Palan in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen...
This prediction market tracks whether Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan will occur, with $105K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $106K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Astana: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $105K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $105K, with $106K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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