The market strongly favors Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 85%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 85% | +18% | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner | 66% | +50% | - |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5 | 66% | +53% | - |
| 4 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-1.5 | 58% | +72% | - |
| 6 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 12 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner | 40% | +147% | - |
| 14 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | +153% | $3 |
| 15 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 36% | +178% | - |
| 16 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz | 36% | +182% | $13K |
| 17 | Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 19% | +426% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 85%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 23, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 85% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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