The market strongly favors HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 86% | +16% | - |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 22.5 | 77% | +30% | $2 |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 68% | +47% | - |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 64% | +55% | - |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert | 62% | +60% | $6K |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 Winner | 58% | +72% | $5 |
| 7 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 Winner | 58% | +72% | - |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +98% | $4 |
| 9 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 44% | +130% | $19 |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 39% | +156% | - |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +160% | $62K |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 O/U 9.5 BEST VALUE | 36% | +178% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Ugo Humbert in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if T...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert will occur, with $67K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $67K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 14:35 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 86% probability, with $67K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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