The market strongly favors Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 86% | +17% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 | 63% | +59% | $22 |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 59% | +69% | $30 |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | 58% | +71% | $30K |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner | 57% | +75% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner | 56% | +77% | $104 |
| 7 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | - |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +90% | $279 |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-1.5 | 52% | +90% | $14 |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +120% | $155 |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $601 |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +174% | $923 |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'To...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 12, 2026 at 06:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 86% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms