US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | 68% | +48% | $33K |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner | 63% | +59% | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner | 61% | +64% | - |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5 | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +111% | $39 |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 16 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 38% | +160% | $7 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Juan Pablo Varillas in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas at 68% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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