Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | - |
| 2 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 62% | +60% | $11 |
| 3 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 4 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +106% | $2 |
| 8 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 22.5 | 40% | +150% | $2 |
| 9 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 39% | +156% | $1 |
| 10 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 23.5 | 35% | +186% | - |
| 11 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +233% | - |
| 12 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 30% | +239% | $3 |
| 13 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner | 25% | +300% | - |
| 14 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 Winner | 24% | +308% | $5 |
| 15 | Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov BEST VALUE | 18% | +471% | $83K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marc Polmans and Grigor Dimitrov in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marc P...
This prediction market tracks whether Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov will occur, with $83K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $83K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 07:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76% probability, with $83K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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