The market strongly favors Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 86% | +16% | - |
| 2 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 74% | +34% | - |
| 3 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 64% | +57% | $60 |
| 4 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 63% | +59% | - |
| 5 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 56% | +80% | $782 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +111% | $210 |
| 8 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 42% | +135% | - |
| 9 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 42% | +135% | $87 |
| 10 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +138% | $148 |
| 11 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 42% | +138% | $4 |
| 12 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 40% | +153% | $57K |
| 13 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +163% | $452 |
| 14 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 36% | +178% | - |
| 15 | Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 BEST VALUE | 31% | +223% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will occur, with $58K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $58K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 27, 2026 at 11:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 86% probability, with $58K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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