Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 60% | +68% | - |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 | 54% | +87% | $148 |
| 4 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | $740 |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | $3 |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner | 44% | +125% | $2 |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 44% | +127% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | +133% | $2 |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 42% | +141% | $31K |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 39% | +156% | $27 |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +178% | $303 |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 32% | +217% | - |
| 17 | Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | $12 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jur...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (62% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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