The market strongly favors Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $10 |
| 2 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 5 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% | +33% | $5 |
| 6 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +33% | $100 |
| 7 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Match O/U 22.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 8 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Match O/U 23.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 9 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel | 75% | +34% | $61K |
| 10 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $225 |
| 11 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $358 |
| 12 | Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Luis Guto Miguel in the Kingston, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer...
This prediction market tracks whether Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel will occur, with $62K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $61K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 18, 2026 at 19:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $62K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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