Market is split — European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon | 50% | +98% | $16K |
| 2 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 Winner | 50% | +98% | $2K |
| 3 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | $3K |
| 4 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +98% | $2K |
| 5 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $25 |
| 6 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $338 |
| 7 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $25 |
| 8 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $208 |
| 10 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $10 |
| 14 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 15 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Raphael Collignon in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune...
This prediction market tracks whether European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 18, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon at 50% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms