The market strongly favors Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $10 |
| 2 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $15 |
| 3 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% | +34% | $10 |
| 4 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +34% | $61 |
| 5 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Match O/U 22.5 | 75% | +34% | $10 |
| 6 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Match O/U 23.5 | 74% | +34% | - |
| 7 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan | 68% | +48% | $96K |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 15% | +564% | $12 |
| 10 | Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 15% | +564% | $29 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Sakamoto and Alan Magadan in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedr...
This prediction market tracks whether Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan will occur, with $94K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set 2 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $94K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $94K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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