US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 23.5 leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 23.5 | 72% | +40% | - |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 Winner | 58% | +71% | $3 |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 58% | +72% | $17 |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +90% | $3 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $24 |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin | 50% | +102% | $41K |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 Winner | 30% | +228% | - |
| 16 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Game Spread +/-3.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +251% | $100 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Cristian Garin in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'T...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 23.5 at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 27, 2026 at 16:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 23.5 at 72% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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