The market strongly favors US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 21.5 | 85% | +18% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 Winner | 72% | +38% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli | 54% | +87% | $20K |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 22.5 | 49% | +104% | $7 |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Game Spread +/-4.5 | 35% | +186% | $77 |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $158 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Francesco Maestrelli in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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