The market strongly favors Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist | 100% | - | $27K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $60 |
| 3 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 5 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $33 |
| 9 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Sciahbasi and Arvid Nordquist in the Taranto, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $27K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 01, 2026 at 16:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist at 100% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms