US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 71%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 71% | +41% | - |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 66% | +52% | $39 |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche | 57% | +74% | $55K |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner | 55% | +82% | - |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 Winner | 55% | +83% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner | 54% | +85% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 36.5 | 54% | +87% | $186 |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Luca Van Assche in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Sh...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche will occur, with $55K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 71%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $55K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 12:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 71% probability, with $55K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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