The market strongly favors US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $7.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 100% | - | $7.0M |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | $26K |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner | 100% | - | $3K |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | $18K |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 100% | - | $6K |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $250 |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 | 100% | - | $1K |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 | 100% | - | $66K |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5 | 100% | - | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' i...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz will occur, with $7.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $101K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 07:55 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz at 100% probability, with $7.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $7.3M, with $101K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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