Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% | +29% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka | 64% | +55% | $32K |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 Winner | 62% | +63% | - |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 Winner | 60% | +67% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +98% | $41 |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Game Spread +/-3.5 | 48% | +108% | $3 |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45% | +122% | $4 |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Match O/U 22.5 | 43% | +133% | $73 |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 34% | +190% | $754 |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +388% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Yoshihito Nishioka in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This ma...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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