Market is split — Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov | 50% | +98% | $12K |
| 2 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 1 Winner | 50% | +98% | $966 |
| 3 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | $7K |
| 4 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +98% | $7K |
| 5 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +98% | $7K |
| 6 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | $20 |
| 7 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $215 |
| 8 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $521 |
| 13 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $984 |
| 15 | Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 16 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | $20 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Alibek Kachmazov in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 18, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov at 50% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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