The market strongly favors Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 92% | +9% | - |
| 2 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 92% | +9% | - |
| 3 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 55% | +83% | $2K |
| 5 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 12 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $4 |
| 13 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $33 |
| 14 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | $18K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Bernard Tomic in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 07:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 92% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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