Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck | 80% | +26% | $20K |
| 2 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 1 Winner | 74% | +34% | - |
| 3 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 68% | +46% | - |
| 4 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 62% | +63% | $352 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 6 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Game Spread +/-5.5 | 44% | +130% | $115 |
| 12 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Match O/U 21.5 | 35% | +186% | $149 |
| 13 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 28% | +264% | $213 |
| 14 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Match O/U 22.5 | 25% | +300% | $46 |
| 15 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Match O/U 23.5 | 23% | +335% | $68 |
| 16 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 22% | +355% | - |
| 17 | Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 11% | +809% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Hunter Heck in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin'...
This prediction market tracks whether Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 18, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 80% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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