The market strongly favors Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka | 100% | - | $59K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $4K |
| 3 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $195 |
| 5 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $37 |
| 6 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $1K |
| 11 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 12 | Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Ilya Ivashka in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin'...
This prediction market tracks whether Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka will occur, with $65K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $65K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka at 100% probability, with $65K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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