The market strongly favors Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell | 100% | - | $171K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $2K |
| 3 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $2 |
| 4 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $2 |
| 5 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $52 |
| 8 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Max Purcell in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin'...
This prediction market tracks whether Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell will occur, with $172K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $172K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 12, 2026 at 06:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell at 100% probability, with $172K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $172K, with $172K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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