Market is split — US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 57% | +74% | $17K |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 Winner | 56% | +80% | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner | 56% | +80% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +174% | - |
| 16 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 23.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (91% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 25, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 57% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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