Market is split — Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 51%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 51% | +96% | $22 |
| 2 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | $21 |
| 3 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner | 50% | +100% | $15 |
| 4 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $1 |
| 5 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $52 |
| 6 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $41 |
| 7 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $21 |
| 15 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $30K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Jacob Fearnley in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan...
This prediction market tracks whether Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 leading at just 51%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 51% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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