The market strongly favors US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $17 |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $48 |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $58 |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $9 |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $26K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Alexis Galarneau in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms