The market strongly favors Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 91% | +10% | $70 |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Match O/U 21.5 | 84% | +20% | $68 |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 2 Winner | 68% | +46% | $91 |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 60% | +65% | $9 |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz | 56% | +80% | $18K |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $13K |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $215 |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +100% | $119 |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 Winner | 16% | +545% | $51 |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $494 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Aziz Dougaz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will re...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 05, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 91% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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