The market strongly favors Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner | 94% | +6% | $1K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $100 |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $15 |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $4 |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley | 46% | +120% | $217K |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolv...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley will occur, with $219K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $225K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 25, 2026 at 13:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner at 94% probability, with $219K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $219K, with $225K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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