The market strongly favors Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 Winner | 86% | +16% | $282 |
| 2 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic | 68% | +46% | $100K |
| 3 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 21.5 | 63% | +59% | - |
| 4 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 22.5 | 54% | +85% | $28 |
| 5 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 Winner | 54% | +85% | - |
| 6 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $12 |
| 11 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $159 |
| 13 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +108% | $74 |
| 14 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 15 | Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $526 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lo...
This prediction market tracks whether Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic will occur, with $100K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $100K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 12:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 Winner at 86% probability, with $100K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $100K, with $100K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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