Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame | 62% | +63% | $17K |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 21.5 | 61% | +64% | $3 |
| 4 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 Winner | 60% | +68% | - |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +77% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | $2K |
| 7 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +90% | $953 |
| 8 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Game Spread +/-2.5 | 49% | +104% | $547 |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 23.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 14 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 15 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 39% | +156% | $513 |
| 16 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 17 | Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +388% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Moise Kouame in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (105% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 19, 2026 at 16:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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