The market strongly favors Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $13 |
| 2 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $10K |
| 5 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $108 |
| 11 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 14 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny | 2% | +4662% | $32K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Sebastian Gorzny in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli'...
This prediction market tracks whether Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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