The market strongly favors Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo | 100% | - | $36K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $3K |
| 3 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 12 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 13 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 14 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 15 | Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoun Sultanov and Luca Castelnuovo in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoun...
This prediction market tracks whether Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $40K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 20, 2026 at 09:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Guangzhou 2: Khumoun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo at 100% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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