The market strongly favors Completed Match at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 100% | +1% | $60 |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1% | $86 |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 58% | +72% | $195 |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 57% | +75% | $600 |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 52% | +90% | $123 |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 Winner | 34% | +199% | $492 |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 26% | +292% | - |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-4.5 | 20% | +400% | $3K |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin | 18% | +441% | $19K |
| 17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Rigele Te and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Completed Match is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 06:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 100% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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