The market strongly favors Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 88% | +13% | - |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5 | 55% | +82% | $198 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 46% | +120% | $4K |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner | 39% | +156% | - |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner | 38% | +163% | - |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BEST VALUE | 34% | +199% | $14K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fra...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 14:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 88% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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