The market strongly favors Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro | 100% | - | $216K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $200 |
| 3 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 4 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 6 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $220 |
| 7 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $102 |
| 8 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $100 |
| 9 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $100 |
| 10 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | $910 |
| 11 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $265 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Sho Shimabukuro in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe'...
This prediction market tracks whether Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro will occur, with $222K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $17K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 13:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro at 100% probability, with $222K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $222K, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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